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PCa Commentary

PSA "Bounce" Following Permanent Seed Brachytherapy - A Challenge To Identify And A Cause Of Anxiety For Patients. (January 2008)

The optimal outcome after radical prostatectomy is an undetectable PSA several weeks following surgery. However, brachytherapy leads to a prolonged process of cell kill with a potential nadir often taking 2 - 5 years. During this period 30% - 40% of patients experience a temporary rise in PSA termed a "bounce", or "spike". This worrisome event was analyzed by,   Juanita Crook et al., Princess Margaret Hospital, Toronto, in 292 men in their report "PSA Kinetics and PSA Bounce Following [125I] Permanent Seed Prostate Brachytherapy," Int.J.Rad.Oncol.Biol.Phys., Vol 69 (2), 2007. 

These authors define "bounce" as a "benign temporary increase in PSA level of varying magnitude that spontaneously decreases without therapeutic intervention to a level at or less than the pre-bounce PSA reading." They were careful to define their terms: specifying "bounce" as a temporary rise in PSA level of > 0.2 ng/mL; PSA nadir as a post treatment PSA value of < 0.1 ng/mL or three consecutive stable readings separated by at least 3 months; and PSA failure as a PSA value > 2 ng/mL above the nadir. The median follow-up in the study was 44 months (range 8 - 81 months); median patient age, 64 years; and median baseline PSA, 5.6 ng/mL. All but 4 patients had Gleason score 6 or less, and 65% of men were tumor clinical stage T1c and 35% T2a. Initial follow-up was every 3-6 months for the first two years and then less frequently. "The median nadir was 0.05 ng/mL (range 0.01 - 0.2 ng/mL) and was reached at a median of 40.8 months."

Many studies have found, as did Crook et al., that younger men are more likely to experience a bounce. Crook cited a study by Critz ( Urol 2000, 163) that reported a bounce in 57% of men aged < 65; in 41% between age 61-70; and in 26% of men > 71 years.

The median onset of a bounce was at 15.2 months; the median magnitude, 0.76 ng/mL; and the median duration was 6.8 months. In the Crook study a graph shows a bell shaped curve depicting the distribution for time of onset for the bounce with the median onset at 15.2 months. The trailing edge of the curve shows that the onset of all bounces had essentially returned to baseline at 36 months. PSA failure, of course, occurred much less frequently and the same graph shows the failure events curve as a low, slow rise and fall with the the median onset of PSA failure at 30 months (based on ASTRO definition). By using the "nadir + 2 ng/mL" definition the median onset of PSA failure is 22.3 months. While median time to bounce occurs earlier than the median time to PSA failure (by both definitions for failure), there is considerable overlap for these two curves so that an early PSA rise can be suggestive of, but not conclusive for, designating a bounce.

The magnitude of the bounce varies greatly, but in general the higher the PSA rises the less likelihood that a bounce is the explanation. 

"The magnitudes of the bounce were <1 ng/mL in 64%, 1-2 ng/mL in 21%, and >2 ng/mL in 15%." Thus in Crook's series "15% of subsequently resolved benign bounces would have been mistakenly called failures using a "PSA nadir +2" definition for biochemical failure." Critz's article reported one bounce of 15.8 ng/mL!

Unfortunately, despite close scrutiny by many researchers, the only prospective hint that a PSA rise will ultimately be a "bounce" is the time of onset for the PSA rise. The PSA doubling time prior to a PSA rise has not proved to be a reliable indicator of bounce. Prostate biopsies in the 2 or so years following brachytherapy may still show cancer cells even in cases where in the ultimate outcome is favorable, so the authors discourage biopsies in an effort to resolve the issue during this time period.  

What management suggestions do the authors present? When a PSA rise occurs the patient's PSA should be monitored every 3 months, and if the level doesn't correct by 30 months a biopsy should be considered. If the PSA level rises to >10 ng/mL they suggest systemic investigations.

During the period of inconclusiveness as to bounce or failure, a patient needs the perspective and supportive counseling of an experienced clinician to help weather this anxiety laden event.

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