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PCa Commentary

Molecular Diagnostics (A NEW PCa COMMENTARY SERIES):  SNPs and Gene Expression Markers of Clinical Relevance. (June 2008)

The cellular heterogeneity within prostate tumors is the Achilles heel of accurate prediction of future clinical behavior. Currently, for predictive purposes men are stratified into risk categories, but outcome estimates within these groups do not provide optimal specificity, based as they now are on the now standard parameters of PSA level, tumor stage, and Gleason score, and frequently augmented by data about percent of biopsy cores positive for cancer, PSA density and PSA velocity. These venerable predictors have been, and remain, serviceable, but fail to identify individuals whose cancer will behave distinctly worse or better than projected for their risk category. The mathematical model of "median" captures the obvious - in every collective grouping there are those whose performance lies at the extreme ends of the spectrum.

The future of better prediction is coming into full view as sophisticated techniques begin to allow characterization of these outliers based on unique individual molecular features, gene alterations, and patterns of gene expression. SNPs ("snips" - single nucleotide polymorphisms) are unique base-pair exchanges in DNA that don't inhibit translation but do result in a functionally different protein compared to what is customary for the gene in question. Gene expression markers include mutations, gene fusions, or a collective pattern of gene expression that defines unique biologic consequences.

Although the literature is burgeoning with reports of SNPs and markers that point to an increased risk for a diagnosis of prostate cancer, this series will focus on examples which yield information that would likely influence the clinical management of an individual patient.

 The series begins with two candidates for potentially clinically useful markers.

1. TMPRSS2-ERG - What a mouthful of letters! Jointly they specify an unwelcome gene fusion, found in the majority of prostate cancers, joining the TransMembrane PRotease Serine 2 (TMPRSS2) promoter with a transcription factor coded by the gene, ERG, a member of the ETS transcription family. This fusion results in a cellular phenotype of increased aggressiveness, distinct from other prostate cancers. Research into the clinical consequences of harboring this gene fusion is intense. 

 What might be the potential utility of identifying this gene fusion - in tissue specimens or urine? Some preliminary data suggests that it offers significant predictive information. Three examples follow:

  Fusion positive HGPIN: TMPRSS2-ERG gene fusion has been found in a subset of HGPIN, which raises the possibility that fusion positive HGPIN may be a harbinger of more aggressive disease. Its presence in a biopsy showing only isolated HGPIN might become an indication for earlier rebiopsy. (Mosquers JM, Clin Cancer Res, June 1, 2008)

TMPRSS2-ERG: Prognostic for Cancer Progression: Nam RK et al., Cancer Biol Ther. 2007 Jan, reported that among 26 patients operated on for localized, Gleason score 7 prostate cancer, eleven (42.3%) were gene fusion positive. Nine of 26 experienced biochemical relapse. However, "Patients with the fusion protein had a significantly higher rate of recurrence (5-year recurrence rate 79.5%) compared to patients who lacked the fusion protein  (5-year recurrence rate 37%, p=0.009). ... On multivariate analysis, the presence of gene fusion was the single most important prognostic factor."

Predictive of Progression in an Observational Study: Attard et al. (Oncogene. 2008 Jan) evaluated 445 men in an observation study analyzed for TMPRSS2-ERG fusion. Men with "Cancers lacking ERG alterations exhibited favorable cause-specific survival (90% survival at 8 years)" compared to 25% cause-specific survival at 8 years. They concluded that the novel category of fusion alteration they studied "allows stratification of prostate cancer into distinct survival categories."

 2. PCA PROSTATE CANCER GENE: The PCA3 gene is over expressed 60 - 100 fold by prostate cancer cells as compared to the PSA gene, and a test is currently commercially available to evaluate the ratio of urinary PCA3 mRNA to the PSA mRNA from non-cancerous prostate cells following a prostate massage. (See PCa Commentary under "Diagnostics", May 2007.) The most recent iteration of the test is more accurate in indicating early prostate cancer than serum PSA. 

The informational utility of this test has now been reported to allow estimation of both tumor volume and Gleason score: "PCA3 Molecular Urine Assay Correlates with Prostate Cancer Tumor Volume: Implication in Selecting Candidates for Active Surveillance", Nakanishi et al., J Uuol, May 2008. The PCA3 test is scored on a scale of 0 - 100, and expresses the ration of PAC3 mRNA to PSA mRNA. In their study the median test values for total tumor volumes of <0.5cc was 21.5; for volumes 0.5cc to <2cc, 41.8; and for volumes >2cc, 48.1. 

The test performed best in designating low volume tumors, and allowed a significant distinction between of total tumor volumes of 0.5 cc vs. <2 cc tumors (p=0.002); and between the 0.5 cc tumors vs. those > 2 cc (p=0.001). Although their additional conclusion is preliminary and requires validation, their data suggests the test results may also estimate the pathologic tumor grade. For Gleason score 3+3 the median test value was ~25, versus a median test score of ~55 for tumors with Gleason scores >7, p=0.005.

The authors concluded: "The PCA3 score appears to stratify men based on tumor volume and may have clinical applicability in selecting men who have low volume/low grade cancer as active surveillance candidates."

 An editorial remark by Leonard Marks offered perspective: "As compelling as the PCA3 story now appears, in the future, test panels [combining] molecular markers including PCA3 and the TMPRSS2-ETS gene fusion products will likely prove to yield more clinical information than single tests."

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